Tamworth vs Macclesfield
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Tamworth. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TamworthGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.149 | A: 0.119Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Tamworth is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Tamworth – Macclesfield Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana FC | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Police AC - Aryan FC | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Cruzeiro - Botafogo | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Fuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves | 2.01 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | CD Aguila Reserves - CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Eintracht Frankfurt - Trabzonspor | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Lokomotiv Tashkent - Sogdiana Jizzakh | 1.79 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE - SC Sopron | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Neftchi Fergana - Navbahor Namangan | 1 | 1.78 | 1.31% | 28 Jul 17:00 |
| Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough | 1 | 1.76 | 1.31% | 28 Jul 20:45 |
| CA Tigre - Nacional De Football | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 29 Jul 00:00 |
| Fortaleza - Botafogo SP | 1 | 1.84 | 1.31% | 29 Jul 02:35 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa | 1 | 1.92 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 01:00 |
| FC Ilves - Stjarnan | 1 | 1.79 | 1.31% | 30 Jul 18:00 |
| Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 00:30 |