UNAN Managua – Rancho Santana FC

Model: TIPPSH

UNAN Managua vs Rancho Santana FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.85
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 28, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 12h 38m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UNAN Managua. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UNAN ManaguaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.016 | A: -0.030

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds1.85Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UNAN ManaguaHOME
VS
Rancho Santana FCAWAY
DWLDL
Recent form
LLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.20
Shots on target for
3.75
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.75
6.80
Home splitW-L-L-L1.25 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-W-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Nicaragua Apertura (ni). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.85
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. UNAN Managua has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -6.8% 7D: -1.8% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 17.4%
Model insight

UNAN Managua – Rancho Santana FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample365
Win Rate47.9%
Profit-27.92u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSPolice AC - Aryan FC1.901.04%
LOSSCruzeiro - Botafogo1.801.04%
WINFuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves2.011.31%
LOSSCD Aguila Reserves - CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves1.991.04%
WINEintracht Frankfurt - Trabzonspor2.001.04%
LOSSSzombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE - SC Sopron1.891.04%
WINKaronga United - Creck SC1.881.04%
WINUjpest II - BKV Elore SC1.831.04%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves11.991.31%05 Jul 16:00
Lokomotiv Tashkent - Sogdiana Jizzakh11.791.31%27 Jul 17:00
CRB - Vila Nova11.951.31%28 Jul 00:30
Union Espanola - Deportes Recoleta11.851.31%28 Jul 01:00
Neftchi Fergana - Navbahor Namangan11.781.31%28 Jul 17:00
CA Tigre - Nacional De Football12.081.04%29 Jul 00:00
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa11.921.04%30 Jul 01:00
Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense11.981.04%31 Jul 00:30
Pick
1 @ 1.85
Kickoff
Lug 28, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 12h 38m
Updated
Updated 13m ago
Torna in alto