Model: TIPPSH

Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 17, 2026 11:15 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 15h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Throttur Reykjavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Throttur ReykjavikGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.048 | A: -0.051

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.34First seen

Current2.20Now

Max odds2.34Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Throttur ReykjavikHOME

Fylkir ReykjavikAWAY

LDWWW

Recent form

DLWLD

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.00

Shots on target for

6.20

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

4.00

Home splitW-W-D-W-W2.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-W2.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 1 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.20

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Throttur Reykjavik. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Throttur Reykjavik has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -17.0% 7D: -17.1% 15D: 2.3% 30D: 4.8%

Model insight

Throttur Reykjavik – Fylkir Reykjavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample505

Win Rate47.9%

Profit+11.81u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	Blacktown City U20 - University NSW U20	2.20	1.31%
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WIN	JK Tallinna Kalev - FC Elva	2.43	1.59%
WIN	Tigre U20 - Racing Club U20	2.21	1.31%
WIN	Newell's U20 - San Lorenzo U20	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	SV Donau Klagenfurt - SVG Bleiburg	1.95	1.31%
LOSS	Northampton - Swindon	2.13	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Ago 17, 2026 11:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 1d 15h

Updated

Updated 12m ago