JK Tallinna Kalev – FC Elva

Model: TIPPSH

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Elva

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 1d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is JK Tallinna Kalev. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JK Tallinna KalevGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.156 | A: 0.130

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.26First seen
Current2.43Now
Max odds2.78Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JK Tallinna KalevHOME
VS
FC ElvaAWAY
WWDWW
Recent form
LWWDW
Avg goals scored
4.00
2.60
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.80
Shots on target for
5.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
4.20
Home splitW-W-D-W-D3.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-W2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.43. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.43
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for JK Tallinna Kalev. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -21.0% 7D: -19.8% 15D: 1.0% 30D: 4.1%
Model insight

JK Tallinna Kalev – FC Elva Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample281
Win Rate42.7%
Profit+1.79u
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WINJuventude de Evora - Alcochetense2.511.59%
WINSt Patricks - Shamrock Rovers2.251.59%
LOSSBlacktown City U20 - University NSW U202.201.31%
WINPacatuba - Esporte Limoeiro2.441.59%
WINFreiburg II - Hessen Kassel2.321.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.43
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 1d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
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