Pacatuba – Esporte Limoeiro

Model: TIPPSH

Pacatuba vs Esporte Limoeiro

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.44
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pacatuba. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PacatubaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.44Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PacatubaHOME
VS
Esporte LimoeiroAWAY
WDDD
Recent form
LWD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.33
Defensive weakness
0.75
0.33
Shots on target for
4.67
1.50
SoT conceded pressure
3.33
4.00
Home splitW-D1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-D0.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.44. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Cearense C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.44
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Pacatuba has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Pacatuba has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -20.9% 7D: -20.5% 15D: 0.8% 30D: 4.8%
Model insight

Pacatuba – Esporte Limoeiro Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.44. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample276
Win Rate42.8%
Profit+3.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINGuangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns Reserves2.531.59%
LOSSUlsan HD - Gangwon FC2.521.59%
LOSSRebordosa - FC Tirsense2.191.04%
WINVilla San Carlos - Defensores Unidos2.251.59%
WINJuventude de Evora - Alcochetense2.511.59%
WINSt Patricks - Shamrock Rovers2.251.59%
LOSSBlacktown City U20 - University NSW U202.201.31%
WINJK Tallinna Kalev - FC Elva2.431.59%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning12.551.59%23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves12.651.59%30 May 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves12.401.59%05 Jul 19:00
Universidad Guadalajara - Jaiba Brava12.231.04%16 Aug 20:00
Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK12.341.59%16 Aug 20:30
Concon National - CD Trasandino de Los Andes12.291.59%16 Aug 21:30
CRB - Gremio Novorizontino12.451.59%16 Aug 23:30
Felgueiras 1932 - AVS12.521.59%17 Aug 19:00
Pick
1 @ 2.44
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
Torna in alto