Model: TIPPSA
TJ Start Brno – Frydek Mistek
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.02
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 29, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 27d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d 19h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | TJ Start Brno | Frydek Mistek |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-L-L-D | W-D-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-L-D-D (home) | W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.00 for / 4.20 against | 5.00 for / 1.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.60 for / 4.20 against (home) | 5.67 for / 2.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Frydek Mistek is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.60First seen
Current1.92Now
Max odds1.92Highest point
Min odds1.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
TJ Start Brno – Frydek Mistek Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.02. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample70
Win Rate51.4%
Profit+4.92u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Nottm Forest - Bournemouth | 2.02 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Usti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan | 2.06 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Puszcza Niepolomice - LKS Lodz | 2.15 | 0.58% |
| LOSS | Dynamo Makhachkala - Spartak Moscow | 2.18 | 0.58% |
| WIN | Flota Swinoujscie - Pogon Szczecin II | 2.13 | 0.58% |
Pick
2 @ 2.02
Kickoff
Apr 29, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Start
Started 27d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 27d 19h ago