Model: TIPPSA
Tombense MG – Rio Branco ES
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.24
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 04, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 23d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Tombense MG | Rio Branco ES |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-L-D-L | D-D-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-D (home) | D-D-D-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded | 0.60 scored / 0.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 5.20 against | 2.60 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.25 for / 4.25 against (home) | 3.00 for / 4.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Rio Branco ES. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds3.30Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Tombense MG – Rio Branco ES Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate35.7%
Profit+3.03u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Siroki Brijeg U19 - FK Zvijezda 09 U19 | 3.15 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Hibernian - Motherwell | 3.17 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - FF Jaro | 3.03 | -0.51% |
| WIN | Rebordosa - SC Vianense | 3.14 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia | 3.09 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | Lucerne - Servette | 3.07 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | Herediano - Cartagines | 3.48 | -1.78% |
| LOSS | Persis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya | 3.32 | -1.78% |
Pick
2 @ 3.24
Kickoff
Mag 04, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 23d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 8h ago