Tusker – Kenya Police FC

Model: TIPPSA

Tusker – Kenya Police FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.36
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 4d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 20h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Tusker Kenya Police FC
Last 5 form W-D-L-L-D L-W
Avg goals scored 0.60 1.00
Avg goals conceded 1.00 1.00
Home/Away form W-D-D-W-L (home) L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 2.60 for / 5.20 against 4.50 for / 3.50 against
Home/Away shots on target 2.00 for / 3.80 against (home) 4.50 for / 3.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Kenya Police FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -20.0% 7D: -6.5% 15D: -8.2% 30D: 10.5%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.68Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Tusker – Kenya Police FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample67
Win Rate43.3%
Profit+0.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
LOSSDerry City - Bohemians Dublin2.450.84%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
WINZED FC - Wadi Degla2.540.84%
WINAcademia Deportiva Cantolao - CD Universidad San Martin2.350.84%
LOSSUniao Rondonopolis - Mixto2.380.84%
LOSSTPS - VPS Vaasa2.480.84%
WINGIF Sundsvall - Sandvikens IF2.350.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.36
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 4d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 20h ago
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