Model: TIPPSA
Tusker – Kenya Police FC
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.36
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 4d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 20h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Tusker | Kenya Police FC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-L-D | L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-D-W-L (home) | L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 5.20 against | 4.50 for / 3.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 3.80 against (home) | 4.50 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Kenya Police FC's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -20.0%
7D: -6.5%
15D: -8.2%
30D: 10.5%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.68Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Tusker – Kenya Police FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample67
Win Rate43.3%
Profit+0.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Lyn 1896 - Bryne | 2.53 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Derry City - Bohemians Dublin | 2.45 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Nunawading - Keilor Park | 2.25 | 0.84% |
| WIN | ZED FC - Wadi Degla | 2.54 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Academia Deportiva Cantolao - CD Universidad San Martin | 2.35 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Uniao Rondonopolis - Mixto | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | TPS - VPS Vaasa | 2.48 | 0.84% |
| WIN | GIF Sundsvall - Sandvikens IF | 2.35 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.36
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 4d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 20h ago