Model: TIPPSH
Umm Salal U23 – Al Gharafa U23
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 34d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Umm Salal U23 | Al Gharafa U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-W-D | D-L-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-D (home) | D-D-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.75 conceded | 0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 2.00 against | 1.80 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.25 for / 2.25 against (home) | 2.40 for / 7.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Umm Salal U23's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -3.6%
7D: -13.8%
15D: -1.8%
30D: 9.8%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.91First seen
Current1.97Now
Max odds1.99Highest point
Min odds1.91Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Umm Salal U23 – Al Gharafa U23 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate28.6%
Profit-4.56u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | KTP - FC Haka | 2.12 | 6.72% |
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FBK Karlstad - Umeå FC | 2.30 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland | 2.51 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FK Blansko - SK Unicov | 2.45 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Operario PR - Chapecoense | 2.34 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Falkirk - Hibernian | 2.31 | 6.90% |
| WIN | Al Hamriyah - Al Fujairah | 2.45 | 6.90% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin | 1 | 2.35 | 6.90% | 08 May 17:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.37
Kickoff
Mag 06, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.90% • n=238
Start
Started 34d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 34d 23h ago