Model: TIPPSH
Ural – Dynamo Makhachkala
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.65
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 20, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 6d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ural | Dynamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-L-W | W-D-D-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L-W-D (home) | W-D-L-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 0.40 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.67 for / 3.00 against | 2.00 for / 2.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.50 for / 2.50 against (home) | 3.20 for / 5.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Ural has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.53First seen
Current2.70Now
Max odds2.77Highest point
Min odds2.47Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Ural – Dynamo Makhachkala Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+2.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Island Bay United - Petone FC | 2.68 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Essendon Royals (W) - Box Hill (W) | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Sao Goncalo - Cabofriense | 2.78 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | KS Mszczonowianka - Wilga Garwolin | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Mlandege FC - Uhamiaji FC | 2.57 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves - Atletico Tucuman Reserves | 2.50 | 2.49% |
| WIN | USM Alger - Olympique Akbou | 2.70 | 2.49% |
Pick
1 @ 2.65
Kickoff
Mag 20, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323
Start
Started 6d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 7h ago