Model: TIPPSH
Urena SC – Atletico Barinas
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.81
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 20, 2026 11:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 6d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Urena SC | Atletico Barinas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-W-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W-D (home) | L-D-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.75 scored / 2.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 2.20 against | 2.60 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 3.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Urena SC's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current1.81Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Urena SC – Atletico Barinas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample53
Win Rate41.5%
Profit-11.16u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cape Town City - Milford FC | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord - Fredrikstad | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Manauara EC - Manaus | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Mlawianka Mlawa - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 1.80 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Atletico GO - Sao Bernardo SP | 1.90 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Krakow - Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1.90 | 1.31% | 28 May 17:30 |
| National Bank - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 29 May 19:00 |
| EC Juventude - America MG | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 30 May 02:00 |
| Charleston Battery - Detroit City FC | 1 | 1.89 | 1.04% | 31 May 00:00 |
| Louisville City FC - Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 | 1.92 | 1.04% | 31 May 01:00 |
| Ceara - Operario PR | 1 | 1.97 | 1.31% | 31 May 21:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.81
Kickoff
Mag 20, 2026 11:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 6d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 11h ago