Model: TIPPSH

Urena SC vs Atletico Barinas

PREDICTION

@ 1.81

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 20, 2026 11:30 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 51d 14h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 51d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Urena SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Urena SC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.75First seen

Current1.81Now

Max odds1.81Highest point

Min odds1.75Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Urena SCHOME

Atletico BarinasAWAY

WDLWW

Recent form

LWDWL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.80

Shots on target for

4.40

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.40

Home splitW-L-W-D0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L1.75 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Segunda Division (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.81

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Urena SC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 41.8% 7D: 19.9% 15D: 13.0% 30D: 4.7%

Model insight

Urena SC – Atletico Barinas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample250

Win Rate45.2%

Profit-34.84u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1.97	1.04%
WIN	Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk	1.96	1.31%
WIN	EC Juventude - Vila Nova	1.84	1.04%
LOSS	Cobresal - Cobreloa	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	St Polten - SK Artis Brno	2.03	1.31%
LOSS	Flamengo SP U20 - XV de Jau U20	2.06	1.31%
WIN	Excursionistas U20 - Lujan U20	1.89	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.81

Kickoff

Mag 20, 2026 11:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 51d 14h ago

Updated

Updated 51d 16h ago