Girona – Elche

Model: TIPPSH

Girona vs Elche

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 48d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Girona. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Girona

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.43First seen
Current5.43Now
Max odds5.43Highest point
Min odds1.82Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GironaHOME
VS
ElcheAWAY
DLDDL
Recent form
DWLDL
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
6.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
4.20
Home splitD-D-L-L-W1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.86. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain La Liga (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.86
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Girona's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 33.7% 7D: 34.7% 15D: 21.5% 30D: 8.5%
Model insight

Girona – Elche Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample280
Win Rate46.4%
Profit-29.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINArgentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes2.101.04%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1.971.04%
WINWarta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II2.051.04%
WINSlovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk1.961.31%
WINEC Juventude - Vila Nova1.841.04%
LOSSHwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC1.931.04%
LOSSGimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon2.061.04%
LOSSDeportivo Maldonado - Albion FC2.101.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.86
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 48d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 21h ago
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