Vanersborgs FK – Grebbestads IF

Model: TIPPSA

Vanersborgs FK vs Grebbestads IF

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 29, 2026 9:15 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 57d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Grebbestads IF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Grebbestads IFGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.81Now
Max odds2.89Highest point
Min odds2.54Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vanersborgs FKHOME
VS
Grebbestads IFAWAY
LDWDL
Recent form
WWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.60
Shots on target for
2.40
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
5.40
Home splitL-W-L-W-W2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-L1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.75
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Grebbestads IF. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Grebbestads IF is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 7.5% 7D: 31.1% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 7.8%
Model insight

Vanersborgs FK – Grebbestads IF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample40
Win Rate42.5%
Profit+8.96u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSundby - Ringsted IF2.87-1.07%
WINKuPS (W) - Aland United (W)3.00-1.07%
WINAC Boise - One Knoxville SC2.84-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
WINBahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha2.82-1.07%
LOSSBlacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U202.94-1.07%
LOSSDefensores de Belgrano VR - CA Douglas Haig2.86-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Mag 29, 2026 9:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Start
Started 57d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 6h ago
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