Vasco da Gama (W) – America MG (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Vasco da Gama (W) vs America MG (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.72
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 29, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 51d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vasco da Gama (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vasco da Gama (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current1.72Now
Max odds1.80Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vasco da Gama (W)HOME
VS
America MG (W)AWAY
WWDWW
Recent form
LWLLD
Avg goals scored
3.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
9.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
4.80
Home splitW-W-W-W-W4.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa do Brazil Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.72
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Vasco da Gama (W) as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Vasco da Gama (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 5.3% 7D: 31.0% 15D: 21.7% 30D: 8.1%
Model insight

Vasco da Gama (W) – America MG (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample217
Win Rate58.1%
Profit-5.43u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINKF Fjallabyggd - Sindri1.70-9.21%
LOSSMan Utd - Wrexham1.71-9.21%
WINBeijing Guoan U20 - Henan U201.64-7.35%
LOSSThe Town - North Texas SC1.74-9.21%
WINHouston Dynamo II - Colorado Rapids II1.66-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.72
Kickoff
Mag 29, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 51d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 15h ago
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