Vasco da Gama (W) vs America MG (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Vasco da Gama (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Vasco da Gama (W)Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa do Brazil Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Vasco da Gama (W) as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Vasco da Gama (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Vasco da Gama (W) – America MG (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Japan Soccer College - Artista Asama | 1.71 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | Avondale U23 - St Albans Saints U23 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - Sleza Wroclaw | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| WIN | KF Fjallabyggd - Sindri | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Man Utd - Wrexham | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Beijing Guoan U20 - Henan U20 | 1.64 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | The Town - North Texas SC | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Houston Dynamo II - Colorado Rapids II | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Suduva Marijampole - Hegelmann Litauen | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 20 Jul 17:46 |
| HK Kopavogur - IF Vestri | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 20 Jul 21:15 |
| Nautico - Londrina | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 23 Jul 02:30 |