Vaxjo (W) – Djurgardens (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Vaxjo (W) vs Djurgardens (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.35
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 6h 53m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Djurgardens (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Djurgardens (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.002 | A: -0.034

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vaxjo (W)HOME
VS
Djurgardens (W)AWAY
WLLWD
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
3.60
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.60
Shots on target for
5.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
5.80
Home splitW-L-W-W-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-W2.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Damallsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.35
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -19.1% 7D: 4.7% 15D: 12.4% 30D: 9.8%
Model insight

Vaxjo (W) – Djurgardens (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample99
Win Rate40.4%
Profit-6.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTobol Kostanay - Partizan Belgrade2.241.21%
LOSSBarcelona Guayaquil (W) - LDU Quito (W)2.131.21%
WINViimsi JK (W) - Paide Linnanaiskond (W)2.101.21%
LOSSBrighton (W) - PSG (W)2.250.84%
LOSSFC Brno II - Frydek Mistek2.420.84%
WINChattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha2.580.84%
WINKorona Kielce II - Wisla Krakow II2.250.84%
LOSSLarne FC - FC Iberia 19992.231.76%
Pick
2 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Starts in 6h 53m
Updated
Updated 10m ago
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