Model: TIPPSH
Vitoria vs Gremio
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.14
StatusUpcoming
KickoffSet 08, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4d 2h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Vitoria. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: VitoriaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.038 | A: 0.009Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
30/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.08First seen
Current2.14Now
Max odds2.14Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
VitoriaHOME
VS
GremioAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
WDLLW
Avg goals scored
0.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
3.40
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
5.00
Home splitL-L-W-W-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.14. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.14
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -31.2%
7D: -5.6%
15D: 13.4%
30D: 4.3%
Model insight
Vitoria – Gremio Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample809
Win Rate47.3%
Profit-4.88u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Centro Espanyol Reserves | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Trento - Desenzano | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Moik Baku - FK Sahdag Qusar | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Levante UD (W) - Villarreal (W) | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Cittadella - Renate | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Westchester SC - Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Yaracuyanos - Urena SC | 2.01 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Atletico El Vigia - Atletico Barinas | 2.03 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| FC Cajamarca - Atletico Grau | 1 | 2.34 | 1.59% | 21 Aug 19:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Leixoes - UD Leiria | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.14
Kickoff
Set 08, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Starts in 4d 2h
Updated
Updated 11m ago