Werder Bremen vs Auxerre
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Auxerre. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AuxerreGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.082 | A: 0.045Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.33. The V2 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.38% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Auxerre is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Werder Bremen – Auxerre Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Comerciantes FC - Bentin Tacna Heroica | 4.20 | 9.91% |
| WIN | Ramsgate - Leatherhead | 4.50 | 9.38% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - Mlawianka Mlawa | 4.20 | 9.91% |
| WIN | Yongin FC - Dangjin Citizen FC | 4.33 | 9.38% |
| LOSS | RoPS - PK Keski-Uusimaa | 4.33 | 9.38% |
| LOSS | West Chester United - Delaware FC | 4.20 | 9.91% |
| LOSS | Jwaya FC - Shabab Al-Sahel | 4.50 | 9.38% |
| WIN | Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion | 4.10 | 9.91% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 4.10 | 9.91% | 14 Aug 20:45 |