Werder Bremen – Auxerre

Model: TipA1

Werder Bremen vs Auxerre

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.33
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.38% · n=45
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Auxerre. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AuxerreGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.082 | A: 0.045

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

77/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.26First seen
Current4.55Now
Max odds4.55Highest point
Min odds4.26Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Werder BremenHOME
VS
AuxerreAWAY
WWWWL
Recent form
DDLWW
Avg goals scored
2.80
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
4.40
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
4.60
Home splitW-W-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-D-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.33. The V2 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.38% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.33
V2 BandELITEROI 9.38% · n=45
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Auxerre is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -16.8% 7D: -3.8% 15D: 15.5% 30D: 10.6%
Model insight

Werder Bremen – Auxerre Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 9.38% across 45 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate40.0%
Profit+11.13u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINRamsgate - Leatherhead4.509.38%
WINWarta Sieradz - Mlawianka Mlawa4.209.91%
WINYongin FC - Dangjin Citizen FC4.339.38%
LOSSRoPS - PK Keski-Uusimaa4.339.38%
LOSSWest Chester United - Delaware FC4.209.91%
LOSSJwaya FC - Shabab Al-Sahel4.509.38%
WINHuachipato - Deportes Concepcion4.109.91%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao24.109.91%14 Aug 20:45
Pick
2 @ 4.33
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.38% • n=45
Start
Starts in 1d
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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