Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Athletic Bilbao. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Athletic BilbaoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.086 | A: -0.087Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.10. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Athletic Bilbao has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Atalanta – Athletic Bilbao Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Comerciantes FC - Bentin Tacna Heroica | 4.20 | 9.91% |
| LOSS | Antalyaspor - Keciorengucu | 4.00 | 9.91% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - Mlawianka Mlawa | 4.20 | 9.91% |
| WIN | Palermo - FC Ingolstadt | 4.00 | 9.91% |
| WIN | Yongin FC - Dangjin Citizen FC | 4.33 | 9.38% |
| LOSS | RoPS - PK Keski-Uusimaa | 4.33 | 9.38% |
| LOSS | West Chester United - Delaware FC | 4.20 | 9.91% |
| WIN | Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion | 4.10 | 9.91% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih - FC Livyi Bereh | 2 | 4.00 | 9.91% | 15 Aug 12:00 |
| Werder Bremen - Auxerre | 2 | 4.33 | 9.38% | 15 Aug 14:30 |
| Everton - Lille | 2 | 3.90 | 9.91% | 15 Aug 16:00 |