Model: TIPPSH

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Sydney Olympic

PREDICTION

@ 2.18

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 04, 2026 9:00 AM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 43d 14h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 44d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Western Sydney Wanderers U21. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Western Sydney Wanderers U21Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.71First seen

Current2.35Now

Max odds2.35Highest point

Min odds1.71Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Western Sydney Wanderers U21HOME

Sydney OlympicAWAY

WDLDL

Recent form

LWLLD

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

2.00

2.20

Shots on target for

4.40

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

4.40

Home splitW-D-L-D-L1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-D-W1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.18. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.18

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Western Sydney Wanderers U21 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 77.6% 7D: 59.6% 15D: 31.7% 30D: 11.0%

Model insight

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 – Sydney Olympic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample545

Win Rate48.4%

Profit+16.13u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK	2.34	1.59%
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WIN	Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos	2.25	1.59%
WIN	Molde - Tromso	2.11	1.31%
WIN	US Hostert - FC Etzella Ettelbruck	1.95	1.04%
WIN	St Patricks - Shamrock Rovers	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	Ingulets Petrovo - Nyva Ternopil	2.10	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.18

Kickoff

Lug 04, 2026 9:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 43d 14h ago

Updated

Updated 44d 2h ago