Model: TipTromba4H
BFA Vilnius – FK Tauras
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 31d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=87
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=87
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 32d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | BFA Vilnius | FK Tauras |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-D | L-L-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.25 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.50 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D (home) | L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded | 1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.33 for / 2.67 against | 4.00 for / 5.67 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 2.50 against (home) | 3.00 for / 9.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to BFA Vilnius's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.14First seen
Current4.23Now
Max odds4.23Highest point
Min odds4.14Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
BFA Vilnius – FK Tauras Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.04% and 3.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample46
Win Rate30.4%
Profit+6.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | BK Astrio - Landvetter IS | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Hibernian (W) - Hearts (W) | 3.60 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Sao Jose PA - Marcilio Dias | 3.50 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Niigata University H&W - Toyama Shinjo Club | 3.90 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Nelson Suburbs - Ferrymead Bays | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| WIN | Araz FK - Zira IK | 3.60 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Mid Ulster (W) - Ballymena Utd (W) | 3.60 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Hellenic AC - Port Darwin FC | 3.80 | 4.09% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul Amazones (W) - Incheon Red Angels (W) | 1 | 3.70 | 3.99% | 27 May 12:00 |
| Ha Noi (W) - TP HCM (W) | 1 | 3.60 | 4.85% | 27 May 14:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.04% • n=87
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.04% • n=87
Start
Started 31d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 32d 1h ago