Arda Kardzhali – Botev Plovdiv

Model: TIPPSA

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 76d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.72% · n=146
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 77d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Botev Plovdiv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Botev Plovdiv

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.20First seen
Current3.15Now
Max odds3.25Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Arda KardzhaliHOME
VS
Botev PlovdivAWAY
LLWLW
Recent form
WWDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
2.75
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.25
Shots on target for
3.00
7.75
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
2.75
Home splitL-L-W-W0.75 scored / 1.75 conceded
Away splitW-W2.50 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.72% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.00
V2 BandNONEROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 BandNONEROI -3.72% · n=146
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Botev Plovdiv shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Botev Plovdiv's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 23.5% 7D: 11.6% 15D: 8.1% 30D: 16.4%
Model insight

Arda Kardzhali – Botev Plovdiv Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.51% and -3.72%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample67
Win Rate40.3%
Profit+13.46u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
WINAC Boise - One Knoxville SC2.84-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
LOSSAvai - Cuiaba3.20-1.07%
WINSao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude3.22-1.07%
WINBahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha2.82-1.07%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.72% • n=146
Start
Started 76d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 77d 1h ago
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