Model: TIPPSA
Arda Kardzhali – Botev Plovdiv
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 31d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.72% · n=146
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Arda Kardzhali | Botev Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-L-W | W-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 2.75 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 0.25 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W-W (home) | W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 1.75 conceded | 2.50 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.20 against | 7.75 for / 2.75 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.75 for / 5.50 against (home) | 6.50 for / 2.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Botev Plovdiv has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.20First seen
Current3.15Now
Max odds3.25Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Arda Kardzhali – Botev Plovdiv Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.51% and -3.72%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample53
Win Rate37.7%
Profit+6.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Chernigiv - FC Metalist Kharkiv | 2.77 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Siroki Brijeg U19 - FK Zvijezda 09 U19 | 3.15 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Burnley - Wolverhampton | 2.90 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Tabor Sezana - NK Rudar Velenje | 2.87 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Hibernian - Motherwell | 3.17 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - FF Jaro | 3.03 | -0.51% |
| WIN | Sturm Graz II - Rapid Vienna II | 2.88 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | HB Torshavn - Vikingur Gota | 2.85 | -0.51% |
Pick
2 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.72% • n=146
Start
Started 31d ago
Updated
Updated 31d 2h ago