Guayaquil City – Tecnico Universitario

Model: TIPPSA

Guayaquil City – Tecnico Universitario

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 27, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 30d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 11h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Guayaquil City Tecnico Universitario
Last 5 form W-W-W-W-L L-L-L-L-W
Avg goals scored 1.60 0.40
Avg goals conceded 1.20 1.00
Home/Away form W-W (home) L-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded 0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded
Shots on target 4.40 for / 6.20 against 5.40 for / 4.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.50 for / 8.50 against (home) 5.67 for / 4.33 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tecnico Universitario's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.58First seen
Current4.01Now
Max odds4.01Highest point
Min odds3.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Guayaquil City – Tecnico Universitario Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.37% across 115 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate20.0%
Profit-1.76u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINIFK Norrkoping (W) - Eskilstuna Utd (W)4.245.37%
LOSSLeyton Orient - Burton Albion4.215.37%
LOSSEspanyol - Levante3.915.37%
LOSSLDU Quito - SD Aucas3.965.37%
WINMFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B4.005.37%
LOSSIA/Kari/Skall/Viko U19 - Stjarnan/KFG U193.925.37%
LOSSFram Reykjavik - Keflavik4.235.37%
LOSSZnicz Pruszkow U19 - Resovia Rzeszow U194.035.37%
Pick
2 @ 4.16
Kickoff
Apr 27, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.37% • n=115
Start
Started 30d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 11h ago
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