Gremio – Coritiba

Model: TIPPSH

Gremio vs Coritiba

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.99
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 77d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 77d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gremio. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gremio

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current1.99Now
Max odds2.04Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GremioHOME
VS
CoritibaAWAY
WWLWD
Recent form
LDWDD
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.80
Shots on target for
4.20
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
5.20
Home splitW-W-W-D1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-D0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.99
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 3.8% 7D: -2.3% 15D: 16.2% 30D: 15.3%
Model insight

Gremio – Coritiba Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample342
Win Rate49.4%
Profit-12.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWexford FC - Kerry FC1.903.37%
WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
WINBeijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan1.783.37%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
LOSSJecheon Citizen - Gijang United1.883.37%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
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FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 1.99
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 77d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 77d 6h ago
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