FK Podgorica – FK Grbalj Radanovici

Model: TIPPSA

FK Podgorica vs FK Grbalj Radanovici

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 71d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 71d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Grbalj Radanovici. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Grbalj Radanovici

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.35First seen
Current2.48Now
Max odds2.48Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK PodgoricaHOME
VS
FK Grbalj RadanoviciAWAY
WDLWW
Recent form
LLWLW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
4.00
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.25
2.60
Home splitW-W2.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L1.75 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.37. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Montenegro Druga Liga (me). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.37
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. FK Grbalj Radanovici has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -12.1% 7D: -7.0% 15D: -1.4% 30D: 9.9%
Model insight

FK Podgorica – FK Grbalj Radanovici Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample155
Win Rate38.7%
Profit-12.46u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
Pick
2 @ 2.37
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 71d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 71d 6h ago
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