Model: TIPPSA
FK Podgorica – FK Grbalj Radanovici
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 24d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FK Podgorica | FK Grbalj Radanovici |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-L-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | L-W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.75 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 3.25 against | 5.20 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 0.00 against (home) | 5.67 for / 2.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FK Grbalj Radanovici has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.35First seen
Current2.48Now
Max odds2.48Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FK Podgorica – FK Grbalj Radanovici Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample148
Win Rate39.2%
Profit-10.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.37
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 24d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 23h ago