Model: TIPPSA
Ajax – PSV
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 24d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ajax | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-W-L | D-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.50 for / 3.50 against | 7.00 for / 4.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.50 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. PSV is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.51First seen
Current2.63Now
Max odds2.68Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Ajax – PSV Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample107
Win Rate40.2%
Profit+3.41u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.63
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 24d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 15h ago