Model: TIPPSA

FK Siauliai II vs Hegelmann Litauen II

PREDICTION

@ 2.62

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 03, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 0

StartStarted 117d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 118d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hegelmann Litauen II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hegelmann Litauen IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.79First seen

Current2.71Now

Max odds2.79Highest point

Min odds2.63Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Siauliai IIHOME

Hegelmann Litauen IIAWAY

WLDL

Recent form

LWWL

Avg goals scored

1.25

Defensive weakness

2.25

1.50

Shots on target for

2.50

3.25

SoT conceded pressure

9.75

4.25

Home splitW-D2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.62. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.44% based on n=196 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania 1 Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.62

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -19.5% 7D: -17.3% 15D: -3.7% 30D: 11.4%

Model insight

FK Siauliai II – Hegelmann Litauen II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.62. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample151

Win Rate45.0%

Profit+23.46u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Dunfermline - Raith	2.66	3.59%
LOSS	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lugano	2.75	3.61%
WIN	Hibernian - Gent	2.52	4.13%
WIN	B68 Toftir - Skala IF	2.37	4.13%
WIN	Eyupspor - Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	2.57	3.59%
LOSS	FK Poprad - FC Lokomotiva Kosice	2.43	4.13%
WIN	NJS - MuSa	2.38	4.13%
WIN	Honiara City FC - Green Shield FC	2.71	3.59%

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Pick

2 @ 2.62

Kickoff

Mag 03, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.44% • n=196

Start

Started 117d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 118d 3h ago