Malmo FF – Mjällby AIF

Model: TIPPSA

Malmo FF vs Mjällby AIF

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 70d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 70d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mjällby AIF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mjällby AIF

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.15First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds2.95Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Malmo FFHOME
VS
Mjällby AIFAWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
WWDWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.80
Shots on target for
4.00
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
4.40
Home splitL-L-W2.33 scored / 2.33 conceded
Away splitW-D-L1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.74. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.74
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Mjällby AIF has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -22.2% 7D: -17.3% 15D: -3.7% 30D: 11.4%
Model insight

Malmo FF – Mjällby AIF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample88
Win Rate38.6%
Profit+1.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFencibles United - East Coast Bays2.814.96%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSDeportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers2.924.96%
WINNew Zealand (W) - Haiti (W)2.864.96%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.74
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 70d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 70d 16h ago
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