Model: TIPPSH
Portmore United – Tivoli Gardens
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 07, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 34d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Portmore United | Tivoli Gardens |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-L-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-D-D (home) | L-L-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.40 scored / 2.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 1.80 against | 3.80 for / 7.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 4.33 against (home) | 3.00 for / 7.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.9%
7D: -14.6%
15D: -2.5%
30D: 9.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.97Now
Max odds2.03Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Portmore United – Tivoli Gardens Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample326
Win Rate49.4%
Profit-11.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Oman - Mozambique | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CF Benidorm - Torrevieja | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Oskar Przysucha - MKS Piaseczno | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Perth SC - Stirling Macedonia | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Atletico Rio Abajo - AF Chilibre | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Quilmes Reserves - Deportivo Riestra Reserves | 2.15 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Waterford FC - Sligo Rovers | 1 | 2.23 | 3.37% | 12 Jun 20:45 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Mag 07, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 34d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 34d 16h ago