Model: TIPPSH
Adelaide Olympic – Adelaide Cobras
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.14
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 43d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 44d 16h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Adelaide Olympic | Adelaide Cobras |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-L-W | L-L-W-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L-L (home) | L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.75 scored / 1.50 conceded | 1.00 scored / 2.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.60 for / 4.00 against | 1.33 for / 3.67 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 6.50 against (home) | 1.00 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Adelaide Olympic is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -34.8%
7D: -18.4%
15D: -8.4%
30D: 6.2%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.14. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia South Australia State League 1 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.14
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight
Adelaide Olympic – Adelaide Cobras Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample250
Win Rate46.0%
Profit-14.03u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Detroit City FC - Louisville City FC | 2.36 | 2.49% |
| WIN | The Gap NPL (W) - Mitchelton FC (W) | 2.31 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Harju JK Laagri - JK Nomme United | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| WIN | JK Nomme Kalju II - JK Nomme United II | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Salvo SC (W) - Minnesota Thunder (W) | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Nomads United - Nelson Suburbs | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Londrina - Avai | 2.33 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Dnepr Mogilev - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2.18 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Provincial Ovalle - Real Juventud San Joaquin | 1 | 2.25 | 2.49% | 21 Jun 22:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.14
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 43d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 44d 16h ago