San Lorenzo (W) – Newell’s Old Boys (W)

Model: TIPPSH

San Lorenzo (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.76
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN5 - 0
StartStarted 64d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 65d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Lorenzo (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Lorenzo (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.59First seen
Current1.82Now
Max odds1.82Highest point
Min odds1.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

San Lorenzo (W)HOME
VS
Newell's Old Boys (W)AWAY
WLW
Recent form
LLL
Avg goals scored
2.67
0.00
Defensive weakness
0.67
3.33
Shots on target for
6.33
1.67
SoT conceded pressure
2.67
6.33
Home splitW-W4.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-L0.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.76. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Championship Women (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.76
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. San Lorenzo (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -27.5% 7D: -12.1% 15D: -7.7% 30D: 6.6%
Model insight

San Lorenzo (W) – Newell’s Old Boys (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample227
Win Rate52.9%
Profit-0.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWexford FC - Kerry FC1.903.37%
WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
WINBeijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan1.783.37%
LOSSJecheon Citizen - Gijang United1.883.37%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
LOSSPaysandu - Santa Cruz FC1.813.37%
LOSSChangwon City - Yeoju1.863.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.76
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 64d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 65d 5h ago
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