NK Croatia Zmijavci – NK Jarun

Model: TIPPSH

NK Croatia Zmijavci vs NK Jarun

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.89
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 62d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 62d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NK Croatia Zmijavci. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NK Croatia Zmijavci

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.89Now
Max odds1.94Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NK Croatia ZmijavciHOME
VS
NK JarunAWAY
LWLDD
Recent form
WLLLW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.40
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
6.00
Home splitL-L-D0.67 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L0.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.89. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.31% based on n=212 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Croatia 1.NL (hr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.89
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=212
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=212
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. NK Croatia Zmijavci has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 0.4% 7D: -8.3% 15D: -5.8% 30D: 1.2%
Model insight

NK Croatia Zmijavci – NK Jarun Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample301
Win Rate50.8%
Profit-6.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWexford FC - Kerry FC1.903.37%
WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
WINBeijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan1.783.37%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
LOSSJecheon Citizen - Gijang United1.883.37%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 1.89
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=212
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=212
Start
Started 62d ago
Updated
Updated 62d 4h ago
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