Model: TIPPSA
Monaco – Lille
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.69
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 16d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Monaco | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-D-L | W-D-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W (home) | W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded | 2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.60 for / 4.80 against | 6.20 for / 2.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 6.33 against (home) | 6.33 for / 2.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Lille is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.94First seen
Current2.66Now
Max odds2.94Highest point
Min odds2.66Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Monaco – Lille Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample91
Win Rate37.4%
Profit-2.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.69
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 16d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 16d 11h ago