Southampton – Middlesbrough

Model: TIPPSA

Southampton – Middlesbrough

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.97
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 14d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14d 17h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Southampton Middlesbrough
Last 5 form W-D-W-D-L L-D-D-W-W
Avg goals scored 1.60 1.80
Avg goals conceded 1.20 1.00
Home/Away form W-D-D-W-W (home) L-D-D-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded 1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.20 for / 6.20 against 6.20 for / 2.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.80 for / 5.60 against (home) 6.33 for / 5.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Middlesbrough's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.93First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds2.95Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Southampton – Middlesbrough Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.97. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.92% and 2.92%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate43.8%
Profit+3.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCadiz - Leganes2.864.96%
LOSSShenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy2.884.96%
WINBradford - Bolton2.743.31%
WINOsasuna - Atletico Madrid2.734.44%
WINMonaco - Lille2.723.31%
LOSSAl Gharafa - Al-Wakrah SC2.724.44%
WINCobh Ramblers - UCD2.743.31%
LOSSFC Brno II - Sigma Olomouc B2.733.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.97
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.92% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.92% • n=29
Start
Started 14d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 14d 17h ago
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