Model: TIPPSA
Osasuna – Atletico Madrid
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.71
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 11:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 15d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Osasuna | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W-L | W-L-L-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W-D (home) | W-L-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded | 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 5.00 against | 3.80 for / 2.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.25 against (home) | 3.20 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.77First seen
Current2.73Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Osasuna – Atletico Madrid Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample86
Win Rate37.2%
Profit-2.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.71
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 11:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 15d ago
Updated
Updated 15d 6h ago