Black Bulls vs Costa Do Sol
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Black Bulls. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Black BullsValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mozambique Mocambola (mz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Black Bulls's attacking profile.
Black Bulls – Costa Do Sol Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Wexford FC - Kerry FC | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W) | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan | 1.78 | 3.37% |
| WIN | FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Internacional U20 - Gremio U20 | 1.99 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Paysandu - Santa Cruz FC | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |