Model: TIPPSA
Southampton – Middlesbrough
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.94
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 33d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Southampton | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-D-L | L-D-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-D-W-W (home) | L-D-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 6.20 against | 6.20 for / 2.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.80 for / 5.60 against (home) | 6.33 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Middlesbrough has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 0.4%
7D: -8.3%
15D: -5.0%
30D: 0.9%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds2.97Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Southampton – Middlesbrough Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.94. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.92% and 2.92%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate42.9%
Profit+5.36u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3.01 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers | 2.92 | 4.96% |
| WIN | New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W) | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Bradford - Bolton | 2.74 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Osasuna - Atletico Madrid | 2.73 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.94
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.92% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.92% • n=29
Start
Started 33d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 16h ago