Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Septemvri Sofia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Septemvri SofiaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.92. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Septemvri Sofia a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Septemvri Sofia – Spartak Varna Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Wexford FC - Kerry FC | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W) | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan | 1.78 | 3.37% |
| WIN | FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cuiaba - America MG | 2.13 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Internacional U20 - Gremio U20 | 1.99 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |