Model: TIPPSH
ND Gorica – ND Ilirija Ljubljana
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 11d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | ND Gorica | ND Ilirija Ljubljana |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-L-W | L-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-L-L (home) | L-L-W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded | 1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.80 for / 2.80 against | 3.40 for / 5.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.50 against (home) | 3.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. ND Gorica has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.13First seen
Current1.99Now
Max odds2.16Highest point
Min odds1.98Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
ND Gorica – ND Ilirija Ljubljana Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample285
Win Rate50.9%
Profit-5.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 11d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 9h ago