Model: TIPPSH
Dynamo Dresden – Holstein Kiel
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 9d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Dynamo Dresden | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-L-W | L-L-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-L (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 0.50 conceded | 1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 3.20 against | 3.60 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.75 for / 3.25 against (home) | 2.67 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dynamo Dresden's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.71Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Dynamo Dresden – Holstein Kiel Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample202
Win Rate54.5%
Profit+4.84u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Monarchs SLC - Colorado Rapids II | 1.76 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 9d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 10h ago