Model: TipTromba2H

Defensor Sporting Reserves vs Albion FC Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 1.73

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 4:30 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 53d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.61% · n=418

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.61% · n=418

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Defensor Sporting Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Defensor Sporting Reserves

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

15/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.73First seen

Current1.75Now

Max odds1.75Highest point

Min odds1.73Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Defensor Sporting ReservesHOME

Albion FC ReservesAWAY

WDDLW

Recent form

LWDLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

0.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.20

Shots on target for

4.60

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

6.40

Home splitW-D-W2.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.61% based on n=418 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Reserve League (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.73

V2 BandNONEROI -1.61% · n=418

V4 BandNONEROI -1.61% · n=418

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Defensor Sporting Reserves showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Defensor Sporting Reserves has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 13.1% 7D: 15.6% 15D: 4.0% 30D: 0.6%

Model insight

Defensor Sporting Reserves – Albion FC Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.61% and -1.61%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample362

Win Rate66.0%

Profit+22.13u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Tucson - Capo FC	1.70	-1.89%
WIN	Lakeland United FC USL 2 - FC Miami City	1.53	-1.89%
WIN	Al Nejmeh - Sagesse SC	1.73	-1.89%
WIN	Olympiacos - Rakow Czestochowa	1.62	-1.89%
WIN	Ha Noi (W) - Ha Nam (W)	1.57	-3.82%
LOSS	Macau Chiba FC - Cheng Fung	1.73	-1.89%
WIN	Brasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz RS	1.60	-3.38%
WIN	Club Brugge - KV Kortrijk	1.53	-3.38%

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Pick

1 @ 1.73

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 4:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.61% • n=418

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.61% • n=418

Start

Started 53d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 10h ago