Model: TIPPSH
National Bank – El Gounah
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 23d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | National Bank | El Gounah |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-D-W-W | D-L-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-D-W-W (home) | D-L-D-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded | 0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 2.60 against | 2.60 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.20 for / 3.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. National Bank has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 39.2%
7D: 14.6%
15D: -5.7%
30D: -0.7%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
National Bank – El Gounah Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+0.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Jincheon HR - Gijang United | 1.90 | 6.72% |
| LOSS | KTP - FC Haka | 2.12 | 6.72% |
| WIN | Keflavik - Thor Akureyri | 1.82 | 6.72% |
| WIN | Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 | 2.04 | 6.72% |
| LOSS | Antwerp - Standard Liege | 2.02 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) - FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) | 2.27 | 6.90% |
| WIN | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves - Barendrecht | 2.26 | 6.90% |
| WIN | Al-Ahli Doha U19 - Muaither SC U19 | 1.93 | 5.21% |
Pick
1 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=76
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.21% • n=76
Start
Started 23d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 18h ago