Model: TIPPSA
Puszcza Niepolomice – LKS Lodz
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 8d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Puszcza Niepolomice | LKS Lodz |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-D-W | L-D-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-W (home) | L-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 4.40 against | 6.20 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 5.25 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to LKS Lodz's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.12First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.34Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Puszcza Niepolomice – LKS Lodz Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample88
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+5.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Unam Pumas - Cruz Azul | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Nottm Forest - Bournemouth | 2.02 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Usti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II | 2.51 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Leca | 2.36 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 8d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 21h ago