Model: TIPPSH
Monza – Juve Stabia
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.87
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 19, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 7d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Monza | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-L-W | L-D-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W-W (home) | L-W-D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.40 for / 5.00 against | 2.40 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.25 for / 3.50 against (home) | 2.40 for / 4.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Monza's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.63First seen
Current1.89Now
Max odds1.91Highest point
Min odds1.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Monza – Juve Stabia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample60
Win Rate43.3%
Profit-9.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cape Town City - Milford FC | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord - Fredrikstad | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Manauara EC - Manaus | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Mlawianka Mlawa - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 1.80 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna - Wierna Malogoszcz | 2.10 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Boys Reserves - Ferrocarril Midland Reserves | 1 | 1.78 | 1.04% | 27 May 16:00 |
| Molde U19 - Kristiansund BK U19 | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 27 May 18:30 |
| Belgrano Reserves - Quilmes Reserves | 1 | 2.10 | 1.31% | 27 May 20:00 |
| FC Champagne Sport - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy II | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 27 May 20:00 |
| Wieczysta Krakow - Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1.90 | 1.31% | 28 May 17:30 |
| National Bank - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 29 May 19:00 |
| EC Juventude - America MG | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 30 May 02:00 |
| Charleston Battery - Detroit City FC | 1 | 1.89 | 1.04% | 31 May 00:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.87
Kickoff
Mag 19, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 7d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 4h ago