Model: TIPPSH

Tecnico Universitario vs Leones FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 24, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 86d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 86d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tecnico Universitario. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tecnico UniversitarioGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.95First seen

Current2.10Now

Max odds2.12Highest point

Min odds1.85Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tecnico UniversitarioHOME

Leones FCAWAY

WLWLL

Recent form

LWLWL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.40

Shots on target for

8.00

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

6.80

Home splitW-W-L-L1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L0.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.10

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tecnico Universitario's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 36.9% 7D: 20.1% 15D: 7.6% 30D: 2.3%

Model insight

Tecnico Universitario – Leones FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample642

Win Rate48.6%

Profit+0.99u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Pena Sport - Mutilvera	1.86	1.04%
WIN	Lettir Reykjavik - BF 108	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	Scolar Resita - Petrolul Ploiesti	2.05	1.31%
WIN	Hapoel Rishon Lezion - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2.14	1.31%
WIN	Halifax - Derby U21	1.85	1.04%
LOSS	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	Centro Espanol - Central Cordoba de Rosario	2.26	1.59%
WIN	Larne Reserves - Crusaders Reserves	2.08	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Mag 24, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 86d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 86d 7h ago