Model: TIPPSH

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC

PREDICTION

@ 1.99

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 20, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 8h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Cincinnati. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC CincinnatiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.059 | A: 0.035

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.10First seen

Current1.99Now

Max odds2.11Highest point

Min odds1.97Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC CincinnatiHOME

New York City FCAWAY

DLWWW

Recent form

LLLWD

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.60

Shots on target for

5.80

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

6.40

Home splitL-W-W-W-W2.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-D1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.99

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FC Cincinnati a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Cincinnati's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -14.8% 7D: -18.7% 15D: -2.9% 30D: 2.6%

Model insight

FC Cincinnati – New York City FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample723

Win Rate51.0%

Profit+2.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	2.15	1.04%
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WIN	Palestino - Huachipato	1.81	1.31%
WIN	Rio Verde - Goianesia	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Raufoss - Asane	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Rebordosa - FC Tirsense	2.19	1.04%
LOSS	Alhama CF (W) - Villarreal (W)	1.91	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 1.99

Kickoff

Ago 20, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 1d 8h

Updated

Updated 12m ago