FC Ilves – FC Inter

Model: TIPPSA

FC Ilves vs FC Inter

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 20, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 3
StartStarted 62d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 62d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Inter. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC InterGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.11First seen
Current2.24Now
Max odds2.28Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC IlvesHOME
VS
FC InterAWAY
LDWWD
Recent form
WWWWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
3.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
2.80
6.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
2.60
Home splitL-W-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.28. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.28
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FC Inter. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Inter's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 48.6% 7D: 19.8% 15D: 11.2% 30D: 4.0%
Model insight

FC Ilves – FC Inter Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample92
Win Rate46.7%
Profit+2.21u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINTorpedo Kutaisi - Zira IK2.151.21%
LOSSHolstein Kiel - Al Ahli Jeddah2.420.84%
WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Mag 20, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 62d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 62d 6h ago
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