Model: TipTromba35H
Charlton (W) – Leicester (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 3d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.05% · n=18
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.05% · n=18
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Charlton (W) | Leicester (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-D-L | D-L-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.25 | 3.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-L (home) | D-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.25 scored / 3.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 6.00 against | 1.50 for / 10.25 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 1.67 for / 11.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Charlton (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.12First seen
Current3.41Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds3.12Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Charlton (W) – Leicester (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.05% and 2.05%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample119
Win Rate28.6%
Profit-9.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cyprus U19 - Greece U19 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Hubei Istar | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Uberabinha U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Ballymun United - St Francis FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Minas Boca U20 - Betim FC U20 | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | KF Ferizaj - KF Dukagjini | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Wynnum Wolves U23 - Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Central Coast United FC - Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 3.25 | 3.56% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LePa - EIF Academy | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 27 May 19:15 |
| Naft Maysan - Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 28 May 17:00 |
| CF Os Belenenses - SC Farense | 1 | 3.00 | 2.17% | 30 May 21:30 |
Pick
1 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.05% • n=18
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.05% • n=18
Start
Started 3d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 6h ago