Charlton (W) – Leicester (W)

Model: TipTromba35H

Charlton (W) vs Leicester (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 49d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.05% · n=18
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.05% · n=18
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Charlton (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Charlton (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.12First seen
Current3.41Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds3.12Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Charlton (W)HOME
VS
Leicester (W)AWAY
DLDL
Recent form
DLLLL
Avg goals scored
0.50
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.25
3.20
Shots on target for
3.00
1.50
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
10.25
Home splitD-L-L0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L0.25 scored / 3.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.05% based on n=18 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England WSL Play-Offs (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.05% · n=18
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.05% · n=18
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Charlton (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Charlton (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 41.8% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 13.0% 30D: 4.7%
Model insight

Charlton (W) – Leicester (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.05% and 2.05%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample175
Win Rate29.1%
Profit-12.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWisla Krakow - Wrexham3.003.85%
WINPuiu - PPJ3.102.17%
WINAguia de Maraba - ABC3.103.85%
WINMP II - HaPK3.002.17%
LOSSVejle - Randers FC3.253.56%
LOSSAS Trencin - FC Trinity Zlin3.203.85%
LOSSShijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U203.003.85%
LOSSNykarleby IK - Sporting Kristina3.203.85%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Aalesund - Molde13.123.85%11 Jul 16:00
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Pick
1 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.05% • n=18
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.05% • n=18
Start
Started 49d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 12h ago
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