FK Zalgiris Vilnius II – BFA Vilnius

Model: TipA1

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II – BFA Vilnius

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.88
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 4
StartStarted 29d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 2h ago

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.36First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.04Highest point
Min odds2.36Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric FK Zalgiris Vilnius II BFA Vilnius
Last 5 form L-L-D-L-D W-W-L-L-L
Avg goals scored 1.20 1.40
Avg goals conceded 2.20 3.00
Home/Away form L-D-D-W (home) W-L-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.25 scored / 1.50 conceded 3.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.60 for / 8.40 against 4.60 for / 4.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.50 for / 5.75 against (home) 4.67 for / 4.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, BFA Vilnius shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. BFA Vilnius has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 32.1% 7D: 22.0% 15D: 15.6% 30D: 5.7%

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.88. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania 1 Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.88
V2 BandLOWROI 0.48% · n=403
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II – BFA Vilnius Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.88. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample54
Win Rate27.8%
Profit-10.76u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINMaranhao - Paysandu2.900.48%
WINBrunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions3.100.48%
LOSSBrunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions2.750.48%
WINMalvern City - Essendon Royals2.701.02%
LOSSQuinns FC - Curtin University SC3.100.48%
LOSSEl Paso Locomotive FC - Phoenix Rising FC3.100.48%
LOSSCD Torrijos - Sporting Alcazar2.800.48%
LOSSPoblense - Aguilas2.800.48%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
JK Viljandi Tulevik - JK Tammeka Tartu II22.900.48%22 Jun 18:00
Pick
2 @ 2.88
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403
Start
Started 29d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 2h ago
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