Model: TIPPSA
Malvern City – Essendon Royals
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.68
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarted 41m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 43m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Malvern City | Essendon Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-W-W | W-L-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-L (home) | L-L-L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.75 scored / 2.25 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 2.40 against | 6.80 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 9.33 for / 4.67 against (home) | 4.00 for / 2.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices Essendon Royals as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Essendon Royals is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 32.9%
7D: 0.1%
15D: -1.4%
30D: 13.9%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.73First seen
Current2.71Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.52Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Malvern City – Essendon Royals Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample104
Win Rate37.5%
Profit-2.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers | 2.92 | 4.96% |
| WIN | New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W) | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.68
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214
Start
Started 41m ago
Updated
Updated 2h 43m ago