Model: TIPPSA
Grasshoppers – Aarau
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.07
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 5d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Grasshoppers | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-W-L | L-D-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L-L-L (home) | L-W-W-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded | 1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.60 for / 5.00 against | 6.80 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.50 for / 6.00 against (home) | 6.00 for / 4.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Aarau has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.07First seen
Current4.07Now
Max odds4.30Highest point
Min odds3.07Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Grasshoppers – Aarau Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.07. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+1.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Junior - Independiente Santa Fe | 4.10 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Gremio Novorizontino - Ceara | 4.08 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Cerezo Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki | 4.10 | 3.07% |
| WIN | Jacuipense - Imperatriz | 3.97 | 3.07% |
| WIN | Kiffen - PPJ | 3.83 | 3.07% |
| LOSS | Goias - Criciuma | 4.18 | 3.07% |
Pick
2 @ 4.07
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=49
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=49
Start
Started 5d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 5d 3h ago